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📊 Will Chill Bill have at least 320 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

26 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Chill Bill had 501 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 320 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-01T20:40:45.965Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 511ec5f26abe…4f7153

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will Chill Bill have at least 320 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 46% confidence

VOL $I 32.5·TRADES8·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Chill Bill is at least 320 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"twist-gaming-chill-bill","game":"Chill Bill","threshold":320,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Chill Bill currently has 319 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 320 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%40$I 20.4
53%28$I 13.8
51%20$I 9.7
49%12$I 5.7
47%4$I 1.9
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%4$I 2.2
43%12$I 6.8
41%20$I 11.6
39%29$I 16.6
36%42$I 24.7

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

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YES holders2

  • trainwreck👑50%21@48%
  • arspopo👑50%3@51%

NO holders4

  • stakeloser👑49%13@54%
  • eddy_scout👑49%12@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%11@52%
  • arspopo👑50%5@54%
stakeloser bought NO$I 4.2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6
arspopo bought YES$I 1.3
trainwreck bought YES$I 5.8
trainwreck bought YES$I 4.1
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.8
arspopo bought NO$I 2.4
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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