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📊 Will ETH be at or above $1,800 by 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

14 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: ETH = $1,765.2 (Hermes publish_time 1783975526) vs threshold ≥ $1,800 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-13T20:45:28.564Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 4a39272dfaf1…8b9269

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=ff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will ETH be at or above $1,800 by 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 50% confidence

VOL $I 24.1·TRADES4·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for ETH/USD is at least $1,800 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"ff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace","asset":"ETH","threshold":1800,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. ETH is currently $1,787.42. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $1,800 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
60%41$I 22.2
57%28$I 15
55%20$I 10.5
53%12$I 6.2
51%4$I 2
MID50%SPREAD 2ppYES
49%4$I 2
47%12$I 6.2
45%20$I 10.6
43%28$I 15.2
40%41$I 22.5

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • trainwreck👑50%24@53%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑50%16@46%
  • stakeloser👑49%9@49%
stakeloser bought NO$I 4.4
arspopo bought NO$I 7.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 4.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 7.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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