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📊 Will ETH be at or above $1,850 by 2026-07-17 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

10 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: ETH = $1,841.91 (Hermes publish_time 1784321137) vs threshold ≥ $1,850 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-17T20:45:39.854Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 2825b3bca49b…0ecac2

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=ff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will ETH be at or above $1,850 by 2026-07-17 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 54% confidence

VOL $I 20.3·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for ETH/USD is at least $1,850 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"ff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace","asset":"ETH","threshold":1850,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. ETH is currently $1,828.08. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $1,850 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%40$I 20.5
53%28$I 13.9
51%20$I 9.7
49%12$I 5.7
47%4$I 1.9
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%4$I 2.2
43%12$I 6.8
41%20$I 11.5
39%29$I 16.5
36%42$I 24.5

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • eddy_scout👑49%12@50%

NO holders4

  • stakeloser👑49%11@53%
  • eddy_scout👑49%11@50%
  • arspopo👑50%4@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%2@51%
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.9
eddy_scout bought NO$I 2.9
eddy_scout bought NO$I 2.6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5.9
arspopo bought NO$I 1.8
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.2

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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