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📊 Will ETH be at or above $1,850 by 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

8 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: ETH = $1,864.72 (Hermes publish_time 1784493935) vs threshold ≥ $1,850 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-19T20:45:39.632Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 3fbe57ce4da2…5da634

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=ff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will ETH be at or above $1,850 by 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 47% confidence

VOL $I 23.8·TRADES9·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for ETH/USD is at least $1,850 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"ff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace","asset":"ETH","threshold":1850,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. ETH is currently $1,871.98. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $1,850 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
57%40$I 20.8
54%28$I 14.1
52%20$I 9.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%4$I 1.9
MID47%SPREAD 2ppYES
46%4$I 2.2
44%12$I 6.6
42%20$I 11.3
40%29$I 16.2
37%41$I 24.1

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • trainwreck👑50%9@46%
  • eddy_scout👑49%7@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%1@51%

NO holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%28@52%
  • arspopo👑50%3@50%
trainwreck bought YES$I 1
trainwreck bought YES$I 3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 5.3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1.8
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1.4
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2.2
arspopo bought NO$I 1.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 0.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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