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📊 Will ETH be at or above $1,900 by 2026-07-16 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

11 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: ETH = $1,871.3 (Hermes publish_time 1784234737) vs threshold ≥ $1,900 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-16T20:45:39.623Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 244e80971321…b6e9c9

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=ff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will ETH be at or above $1,900 by 2026-07-16 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 47% confidence

VOL $I 24.4·TRADES5·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for ETH/USD is at least $1,900 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"ff61491a931112ddf1bd8147cd1b641375f79f5825126d665480874634fd0ace","asset":"ETH","threshold":1900,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. ETH is currently $1,887.38. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $1,900 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 23.8
60%29$I 16.1
58%20$I 11.2
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.1
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%20$I 9.9
46%28$I 14.2
43%40$I 21

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • arspopo👑50%16@49%
  • stakeloser👑49%7@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%7@52%

NO holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%13@52%
  • trainwreck👑50%6@49%
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.6
arspopo bought YES$I 7.9
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.4
trainwreck bought NO$I 3
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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