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📊 Will Fish have at least 310 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-03 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

24 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Fish had 305 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 310 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-03T20:40:32.820Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 95ed7a1b53b2…95483a

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Fish have at least 310 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-03 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 45% confidence

VOL $I 28.3·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Fish is at least 310 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"twist-gaming-fish","game":"Fish","threshold":310,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Fish currently has 305 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 310 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
65%42$I 25.2
62%29$I 17
60%21$I 11.8
58%12$I 6.9
56%4$I 2.3
MID55%SPREAD 2ppYES
54%4$I 1.8
52%12$I 5.6
50%20$I 9.5
48%28$I 13.6
45%40$I 20

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%22@54%
  • eddy_scout👑49%17@52%

NO holders1

  • arspopo👑50%17@47%
arspopo bought NO$I 3.2
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.9
eddy_scout bought YES$I 6.6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1.9
arspopo bought NO$I 4.9
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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