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📊 Will Fish have at least 310 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

22 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Fish had 305 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 310 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-05T20:40:32.284Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · baaf117b2ffb…a248cd

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Fish have at least 310 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 47% confidence

VOL $I 29.7·TRADES5·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Fish is at least 310 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"twist-gaming-fish","game":"Fish","threshold":310,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Fish currently has 305 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 310 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 23.8
60%28$I 16
58%20$I 11.2
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.1
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.9
48%20$I 10
46%28$I 14.2
43%40$I 21

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • eddy_scout👑49%14@51%
  • arspopo👑50%14@48%
  • trainwreck👑50%7@45%

NO holders1

  • arspopo👑50%24@53%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.3
arspopo bought YES$I 6.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.2
arspopo bought NO$I 6.4
arspopo bought NO$I 6.4

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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