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📊 Will Knight Watch have at least 170 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

14 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Knight Watch had 218 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 170 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-13T20:40:19.255Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · b90b6b62563c…bd7f73

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will Knight Watch have at least 170 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 54% confidence

VOL $I 16.4·TRADES4·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Knight Watch is at least 170 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"paperclip-knight-watch","game":"Knight Watch","threshold":170,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Knight Watch currently has 169 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 170 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
64%41$I 24.5
61%29$I 16.5
59%20$I 11.5
57%12$I 6.7
55%4$I 2.2
MID54%SPREAD 2ppYES
53%4$I 1.9
51%12$I 5.7
49%20$I 9.7
47%28$I 13.9
44%40$I 20.5

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • arspopo👑50%24@51%

NO holders1

  • arspopo👑50%8@51%
arspopo bought YES$I 5.5
arspopo bought YES$I 6.8
arspopo bought NO$I 1.4
arspopo bought NO$I 2.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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