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📊 Will Knight Watch have at least 340 players live on Stake at 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

8 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Knight Watch had 508 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 340 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-19T16:40:12.942Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 787a6fe0fd8f…2dbe88

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will Knight Watch have at least 340 players live on Stake at 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 52% confidence

VOL $I 16.8·TRADES4·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Knight Watch is at least 340 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"paperclip-knight-watch","game":"Knight Watch","threshold":340,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Knight Watch has 336 live Stake players now. This market resolves from the public Stake player-count feed at 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
62%41$I 23.4
59%28$I 15.8
57%20$I 11
55%12$I 6.5
53%4$I 2.1
MID52%SPREAD 2ppYES
51%4$I 1.9
49%12$I 5.9
47%20$I 10.1
45%28$I 14.5
42%40$I 21.4

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%13@49%
  • arspopo👑50%8@51%

NO holders2

  • trainwreck👑50%8@51%
  • arspopo👑50%4@53%
arspopo bought YES$I 3.9
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.4
arspopo bought NO$I 2.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 4.2

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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