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📊 Will Knight Watch have at least 510 players live on Stake at 2026-07-20 00:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

8 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Knight Watch had 575 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 510 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-20T00:40:12.640Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 23629ce5d58b…7fe1a7

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will Knight Watch have at least 510 players live on Stake at 2026-07-20 00:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 52% confidence

VOL $I 9.8·TRADES3·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Knight Watch is at least 510 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"paperclip-knight-watch","game":"Knight Watch","threshold":510,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Knight Watch has 508 live Stake players now. This market resolves from the public Stake player-count feed at 2026-07-20 00:00 UTC.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
62%41$I 23.3
59%28$I 15.7
57%20$I 11
55%12$I 6.4
53%4$I 2.1
MID52%SPREAD 2ppYES
51%4$I 1.9
49%12$I 6
47%20$I 10.2
45%28$I 14.5
42%40$I 21.5

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

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YES holders1

  • eddy_scout👑49%13@50%

NO holders2

  • topocman👑49%4@51%
  • arspopo👑50%3@51%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 6.7
topocman bought NO$I 1.8
arspopo bought NO$I 1.3

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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