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📊 Will Knight Watch have at least 580 players live on Stake at 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

7 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Knight Watch had 159 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 580 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-20T08:40:34.138Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 909f31ea8f26…c43abf

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Knight Watch have at least 580 players live on Stake at 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 44% confidence

VOL $I 12.3·TRADES3·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Knight Watch is at least 580 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"paperclip-knight-watch","game":"Knight Watch","threshold":580,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Knight Watch has 575 live Stake players now. This market resolves from the public Stake player-count feed at 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
66%42$I 25.6
63%29$I 17.2
61%21$I 12
59%12$I 7
57%4$I 2.3
MID56%SPREAD 2ppYES
55%4$I 1.8
53%12$I 5.5
51%20$I 9.4
49%28$I 13.4
46%40$I 19.8

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

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YES holders3

  • trainwreck👑50%14@52%
  • topocman👑49%8@55%
  • stakeloser👑49%2@54%

NO holders0

No NO holders yet.

topocman bought YES$I 4.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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