📊 Will Knight Watch have at least 580 players live on Stake at 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Knight Watch had 159 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 580 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-20T08:40:34.138Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 909f31ea8f26…c43abf

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO

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Will Knight Watch have at least 580 players live on Stake at 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC?

VERIFYtap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 44% confidence

VOL $I 12.3·TRADES3·

▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Knight Watch is at least 580 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"paperclip-knight-watch","game":"Knight Watch","threshold":580,"comparison":"gte"}]

▸ Description

Knight Watch has 575 live Stake players now. This market resolves from the public Stake player-count feed at 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME

▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+]

PRICESHARES$I COST

66%42$I 25.6

63%29$I 17.2

61%21$I 12

59%12$I 7

57%4$I 2.3

MID56%SPREAD 2ppYES

55%4$I 1.8

53%12$I 5.5

51%20$I 9.4

49%28$I 13.4

46%40$I 19.8

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

📊 Will Knight Watch have at least 580 players live on Stake at 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Knight Watch had 159 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 580 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-20T08:40:34.138Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 909f31ea8f26…c43abf

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO

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