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📊 Will Knight Watch have at least 770 players live on Stake at 2026-07-19 08:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

9 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Knight Watch had 336 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 770 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-19T08:40:13.345Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 1dc9bc5df94b…08d2eb

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Knight Watch have at least 770 players live on Stake at 2026-07-19 08:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 47% confidence

VOL $I 16.9·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Knight Watch is at least 770 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"paperclip-knight-watch","game":"Knight Watch","threshold":770,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Knight Watch has 767 live Stake players now. This market resolves from the public Stake player-count feed at 2026-07-19 08:00 UTC.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 23.9
60%29$I 16.1
58%20$I 11.2
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.1
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%20$I 9.9
46%28$I 14.2
43%40$I 20.9

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • eddy_scout👑49%14@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%7@50%
  • trainwreck👑50%1@51%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑50%8@51%
  • eddy_scout👑49%3@51%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2.5
eddy_scout bought YES$I 4.8
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1.5
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.5
arspopo bought NO$I 3.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 0.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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