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📊 Will Made Men have at least 510 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

12 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Made Men had 249 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 510 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-15T20:40:45.621Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · f8d35d8dd92d…783e19

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Made Men have at least 510 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 54% confidence

VOL $I 16.3·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Made Men is at least 510 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"terminalgames-made-men","game":"Made Men","threshold":510,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Made Men currently has 508 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 510 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%40$I 20.3
53%28$I 13.8
51%20$I 9.6
49%12$I 5.7
47%4$I 1.9
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%4$I 2.2
43%12$I 6.8
41%20$I 11.6
39%29$I 16.7
36%42$I 24.8

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • trainwreck👑50%7@45%

NO holders2

  • topocman👑49%21@53%
  • stakeloser👑49%4@56%
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.1
stakeloser bought NO$I 2
topocman bought NO$I 5.8
topocman bought NO$I 1
topocman bought NO$I 1.7
topocman bought NO$I 2.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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