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📊 Will Roobet-linked wallets send a single outbound transfer of $250,000+ before May 3, 2026?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

2 months ago

Resolver note · Bulk cleanup resolution — market closed with no manual resolution.

🔗 Live source ↗

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
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Will Roobet-linked wallets send a single outbound transfer of $250,000+ before May 3, 2026?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 46% confidence

VOL $I 1.3K·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolve YES if Etherscan shows a confirmed outbound transfer worth at least $250,000 USD equivalent from a monitored Roobet-linked wallet before May 3, 2026 23:59 UTC. Resolve NO if no qualifying transfer is found by the deadline. Only wallets listed in the monitored wallet list before market launch count.

·
▸ Description

This market tracks whether any monitored Roobet-linked wallet sends one confirmed outbound crypto transfer worth at least $250,000 before May 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%32$I 16.5
53%22$I 11.2
51%16$I 7.8
49%10$I 4.6
47%3$I 1.5
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%3$I 1.7
43%10$I 5.4
41%16$I 9.2
39%23$I 13.1
36%33$I 19.5

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders10

  • eddy_scout👑49%198@52%
  • Market Maker190@35%
  • trainwreck👑50%167@46%
  • Market Maker167@44%
  • arspopo👑50%128@48%
  • stakeloser👑49%127@52%
  • Market Maker76@34%
  • Market Maker71@57%
  • Market Maker59@38%
  • Market Maker47@53%

NO holders10

  • trainwreck👑50%191@47%
  • stakeloser👑49%189@52%
  • eddy_scout👑49%170@52%
  • Market Maker113@65%
  • arspopo👑50%96@48%
  • Market Maker94@62%
  • Market Maker72@69%
  • Market Maker69@67%
  • Market Maker66@54%
  • topocman👑49%59@46%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 5.1
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.4
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 6.7
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1
eddy_scout bought NO$I 0.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.1
arspopo bought NO$I 3.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.4

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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