📊 Will Roobet-linked wallets send a single outbound transfer of $250,000+ before May 3, 2026?ENDED
Resolved
✓ YES
4 months ago
Resolver note · Bulk cleanup resolution — market closed with no manual resolution.
▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
Will Roobet-linked wallets send a single outbound transfer of $250,000+ before May 3, 2026?
VERIFYtap a check
Final outcome
✓ YES
Closed at 46% confidence
VOL $I 1.3K·TRADES10··
▸ Resolution rule
Resolve YES if Etherscan shows a confirmed outbound transfer worth at least $250,000 USD equivalent from a monitored Roobet-linked wallet before May 3, 2026 23:59 UTC. Resolve NO if no qualifying transfer is found by the deadline. Only wallets listed in the monitored wallet list before market launch count.
▸ Description
This market tracks whether any monitored Roobet-linked wallet sends one confirmed outbound crypto transfer worth at least $250,000 before May 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%32$I 16.5
53%22$I 11.2
51%16$I 7.8
49%10$I 4.6
47%3$I 1.5
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%3$I 1.7
43%10$I 5.4
41%16$I 9.2
39%23$I 13.1
36%33$I 19.5
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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