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📊 Will SOL be at or above $76 by 2026-07-16 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

11 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: SOL = $75.73 (Hermes publish_time 1784234737) vs threshold ≥ $76 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-16T20:45:39.777Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 9f078423acd0…e038b7

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=ef0d8b6fda2ceba41da15d4095d1da392a0d2f8ed0c6c7bc0f4cfac8c280b56d

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will SOL be at or above $76 by 2026-07-16 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 44% confidence

VOL $I 49.1·TRADES5·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for SOL/USD is at least $76 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"ef0d8b6fda2ceba41da15d4095d1da392a0d2f8ed0c6c7bc0f4cfac8c280b56d","asset":"SOL","threshold":76,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. SOL is currently $76.14. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $76 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
66%42$I 25.6
63%29$I 17.2
61%21$I 12
59%12$I 7
57%4$I 2.3
MID56%SPREAD 2ppYES
55%4$I 1.8
53%12$I 5.5
51%20$I 9.4
49%28$I 13.4
46%40$I 19.8

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • Market Maker42@60%
  • stakeloser👑49%14@53%
  • topocman👑49%4@51%

NO holders2

  • trainwreck👑50%22@40%
  • arspopo👑50%15@40%
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.2
arspopo bought NO$I 5.9
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.6
topocman bought YES$I 2

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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