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📊 Will SOL be at or above $78 by 2026-07-11 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

16 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: SOL = $78.18 (Hermes publish_time 1783802725) vs threshold ≥ $78 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-11T20:45:29.001Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 0e7b6db01ba2…71a1c5

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=ef0d8b6fda2ceba41da15d4095d1da392a0d2f8ed0c6c7bc0f4cfac8c280b56d

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will SOL be at or above $78 by 2026-07-11 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 48% confidence

VOL $I 20.4·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for SOL/USD is at least $78 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"ef0d8b6fda2ceba41da15d4095d1da392a0d2f8ed0c6c7bc0f4cfac8c280b56d","asset":"SOL","threshold":78,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. SOL is currently $78.21. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $78 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
58%40$I 21.6
55%28$I 14.6
53%20$I 10.2
51%12$I 6
49%4$I 2
MID48%SPREAD 2ppYES
47%4$I 2.1
45%12$I 6.4
43%20$I 10.9
41%28$I 15.6
38%41$I 23.1

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • arspopo👑50%17@49%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑50%16@52%
  • eddy_scout👑49%8@51%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1.4
eddy_scout bought NO$I 2.6
arspopo bought YES$I 3.1
arspopo bought YES$I 5.2
arspopo bought NO$I 1.7
arspopo bought NO$I 6.4

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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