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📊 Will SOL be at or above $78 by 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

12 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: SOL = $77.4 (Hermes publish_time 1784148333) vs threshold ≥ $78 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-15T20:45:37.936Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 546077ba9b7d…3f5a71

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=ef0d8b6fda2ceba41da15d4095d1da392a0d2f8ed0c6c7bc0f4cfac8c280b56d

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will SOL be at or above $78 by 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 53% confidence

VOL $I 33.2·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for SOL/USD is at least $78 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"ef0d8b6fda2ceba41da15d4095d1da392a0d2f8ed0c6c7bc0f4cfac8c280b56d","asset":"SOL","threshold":78,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. SOL is currently $77.62. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $78 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
57%40$I 20.7
54%28$I 14
52%20$I 9.8
50%12$I 5.8
48%4$I 1.9
MID47%SPREAD 2ppYES
46%4$I 2.2
44%12$I 6.7
42%20$I 11.4
40%29$I 16.3
37%41$I 24.2

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%14@51%
  • arspopo👑50%12@45%

NO holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%28@54%
  • arspopo👑50%12@49%
stakeloser bought YES$I 0.7
arspopo bought YES$I 5.4
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.5
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.6
arspopo bought NO$I 5.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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