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📊 Will 10th place in today's Stake $100k Race wager $300k+ by May 22?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

2 months ago

Resolver note · Stake oracle ($100k Race): position #10 wageredAmount = 8,444,676 ≥ 300,000 → YES. Race status at resolve: completed [finalized from provisional 2026-05-22T14:30:23.105Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · ced0e8cdd515…2c3899

https://stake.com/casino/races

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will 10th place in today's Stake $100k Race wager $300k+ by May 22?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 53% confidence

VOL $I 21.5·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver fetches race(raceId: "3f42c556-acd9-462b-9f33-11b4c64d8fa1") from Stake GraphQL. YES if leaderboard position 10 wageredAmount >= 300000 when race.status = "completed". Else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"version":"stake-v1","kind":"race_position","raceId":"3f42c556-acd9-462b-9f33-11b4c64d8fa1","position":10,"metric":"wageredAmount","comparison":"gte","threshold":300000}]

·
▸ Description

Stake runs a daily $100k Race ending May 22 at 14:00 UTC. This market resolves YES if the player ranked #10 on the leaderboard has wageredAmount ≥ $300,000 when the race completes. Currently position #10 sits at ~$192k with ~22 hours left. The cut keeps rising as competition heats up.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 23.9
60%29$I 16.1
58%20$I 11.2
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.1
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%20$I 9.9
46%28$I 14.2
43%40$I 20.9

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • eddy_scout👑49%27@51%

NO holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%10@50%
  • stakeloser👑49%5@51%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.9
eddy_scout bought NO$I 4.2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 0.8
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5.4
eddy_scout bought YES$I 0.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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