Creator profile
arspopo
👑 LegendNewKARMA1000· joined 1 month ago
PREDICTOR #3
Markets created
0
none yet
Resolve accuracy
—
no resolutions yet
Predict accuracy
51%
63 of 124 correct
Karma
1000
untouched — 1000/1000
Lifetime profit
$I 34.8
1588 trades
Reputation breakdown
90-day window · recomputed nightly
Tier
Novice
default — earn karma + age to promote
Predict accuracy (weighted)
51%
harder markets count more
Coherence (jury)
—
need ≥ 3 votes to compute (0 so far)
Civic score
0
no upheld disputes filed in window
Calibration
all-time · settled non-void positions
Brier · 0.244Noisy
170 settled · 0 = perfect, 0.25 = coinflip
Dots on the diagonal = well-calibrated. Above = underconfident. Below = overconfident. Dot size = how many predictions landed in that bucket.
Markets by arspopo
No markets created yet.