📊 Will Gates of Olympus peak above 400 players on Stake this week (by Jul 9)?ENDED
Resolved
✗ NO
1 day ago
Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).
https://www.inari.markets/markets/gates-olympus-400-players-week-jul-9
▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
Will Gates of Olympus peak above 400 players on Stake this week (by Jul 9)?
VERIFYtap a check
Market voided
◇ VOID
Stakes refunded
VOL $I 485.1·TRADES10··
▸ Resolution rule
Resolve YES if any INARI daily ingest snapshot of stakeplayercount.com between 2026-07-02 and 2026-07-09 20:00 UTC shows Gates of Olympus with >= 400 concurrent players. Public site screenshots at 09:00 UTC daily checks are the evidence. NO otherwise.
▸ Description
Concurrent-player race. Gates of Olympus (Pragmatic) must show 400+ concurrent players on Stake in at least one daily snapshot before close.
▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
60%40$I 22.1
57%28$I 14.9
55%20$I 10.4
53%12$I 6.1
51%4$I 2
MID50%SPREAD 2ppYES
49%4$I 2
47%12$I 6.3
45%20$I 10.6
43%28$I 15.2
40%41$I 22.6
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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