📊 Will Rainbet weekly transaction count exceed 100K before June 1, 2026?ENDED
Resolved
✗ NO
23 days ago
Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).
https://www.inari.markets/markets/rainbet-tx-100k-any-week-may26
▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
Will Rainbet weekly transaction count exceed 100K before June 1, 2026?
VERIFYtap a check
Market voided
◇ VOID
Stakes refunded
VOL $I 105.1·TRADES10··
▸ Resolution rule
Resolves YES if tanzanite.xyz/centralized/volume shows Rainbet weekly transaction count ≥ 100K at any data point before June 1, 2026. Baseline May 20: 78.4K.
▸ Description
Rainbet surprised at 78.4K transactions on May 20 — already beating Roobet's 57.8K. Reaching 100K would confirm rapid growth. Resolves YES if tanzanite.xyz shows any weekly reading ≥ 100K before June 1.
▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
65%34$I 20.2
62%23$I 13.6
60%16$I 9.4
58%10$I 5.5
56%3$I 1.8
MID55%SPREAD 2ppYES
54%3$I 1.5
52%10$I 4.5
50%16$I 7.6
48%22$I 10.9
45%32$I 16
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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