📊 Will Roshtein average more Twitch watch-hours than Trainwreck for any single calendar week between May 20 and May 31, 2026?ENDED
Resolved
✗ NO
24 days ago
Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).
https://www.inari.markets/markets/roshtein-vs-trainwreck-watch-hours-may-2026
▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
Will Roshtein average more Twitch watch-hours than Trainwreck for any single calendar week between May 20 and May 31, 2026?
VERIFYtap a check
Market voided
◇ VOID
Stakes refunded
VOL $I 145.8·TRADES10··
▸ Resolution rule
YES if SullyGnome (or twitchtracker.com) shows Roshtein's Avg Viewers > Trainwreck's in ANY of the two complete ISO-weeks inside the window.
▸ Description
Two complete ISO-weeks fit inside the window. Either one with Roshtein > Trainwreck = YES.
▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
65%21$I 12.4
62%14$I 8.4
60%10$I 5.8
58%6$I 3.4
56%2$I 1.1
MID55%SPREAD 2ppYES
54%2$I 0.9
52%6$I 2.8
50%10$I 4.8
48%14$I 6.9
45%20$I 10.1
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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