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📊 Will Stake.com weekly transaction count exceed 280K before June 1, 2026?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

23 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/stake-tx-280k-any-week-may26

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
</>Embed

Will Stake.com weekly transaction count exceed 280K before June 1, 2026?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 76.4·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolves YES if tanzanite.xyz/centralized/volume shows Stake weekly transaction count ≥ 280K at any data point before June 1, 2026. Baseline May 20: 241K.

·
▸ Description

Stake reached ~290K transactions/week around May 13, then fell to 241K by May 20. Resolves YES if tanzanite.xyz shows any weekly reading ≥ 280K before June 1.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
72%36$I 24.2
69%25$I 16.1
67%17$I 11.2
65%10$I 6.5
63%3$I 2.1
MID62%SPREAD 2ppYES
61%3$I 1.3
59%10$I 4
57%17$I 6.8
55%23$I 9.6
52%33$I 14.2

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%77@57%
  • eddy_scout👑49%16@51%

NO holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%50@45%
  • eddy_scout👑49%5@50%
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.9
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.7
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.3
stakeloser bought NO$I 3
stakeloser bought YES$I 0.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 7
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.9
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.3

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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