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📊 Will a New Zealand-based online casino secure a license within the first week of availability?ENDED
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Will a New Zealand-based online casino secure a license within the first week of availability?

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VOL $I 189.7·TRADES10·…·⏳ resolution incoming·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolved by checking public announcements and New Zealand regulatory updates about the first successfully issued online casino license.

·
▸ Description

With New Zealand opening its online casino licensing process, there's a race to see who will be among the first to secure a license. This market predicts whether any operator will succeed in navigating the regulations quickly enough to obtain a license within the initial week.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
61%41$I 23.1
58%28$I 15.6
56%20$I 10.9
54%12$I 6.4
52%4$I 2.1
MID51%SPREAD 2ppYES
50%4$I 2
48%12$I 6
46%20$I 10.2
44%28$I 14.6
41%40$I 21.6

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

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YES holders3

  • stakeloser👑49%101@46%
  • trainwreck👑50%50@43%
  • arspopo👑50%42@49%

NO holders4

  • trainwreck👑50%75@57%
  • eddy_scout👑49%61@52%
  • stakeloser👑49%41@56%
  • arspopo👑50%9@51%
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.8
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.4
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 6
trainwreck bought NO$I 1
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 5.1
stakeloser bought NO$I 7.5
arspopo bought YES$I 1.3
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.2

Community Evidence

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