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📊 Will a participant in the current PackDraw battle win more than $12,700 by August 3, 2026?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

18 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-a-participant-in-the-current-packdraw-battle-win-more-than-12-700-by-august

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
</>Embed

Will a participant in the current PackDraw battle win more than $12,700 by August 3, 2026?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 22.6·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Monitor PackDraw's official X feed or announcements for leaderboard updates or any victory declaration exceeding $12,700.

·
▸ Description

This market assesses whether the ongoing PackDraw battle will see a participant exceeding the $12,700 prize threshold. It adds excitement to an already thrilling battle where stakes are high, and predictions vary.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
65%42$I 25.2
62%29$I 17
60%21$I 11.8
58%12$I 6.9
56%4$I 2.3
MID55%SPREAD 2ppYES
54%4$I 1.8
52%12$I 5.6
50%20$I 9.5
48%28$I 13.6
45%40$I 20

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑50%18@55%
  • arspopo👑49%14@52%

NO holders2

  • stakeloser👑50%6@45%
  • trainwreck👑52%5@44%
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.1
stakeloser bought YES$I 0.7
trainwreck bought NO$I 2.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.3
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.8
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.6
arspopo bought YES$I 0.6
arspopo bought YES$I 4.3
arspopo bought YES$I 2.4

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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