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📊 Will any major US prediction market announce stricter rules on sports markets by August 5, 2026?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

16 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-any-major-us-prediction-market-announce-stricter-rules-on-sports-markets-by

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
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Will any major US prediction market announce stricter rules on sports markets by August 5, 2026?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 97.6·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Check announcements from major US prediction market platforms such as Polymarket or Kalshi on their official channels, including press releases, blogs, or social media, for any indication of new rule implementations focused on sports markets.

·
▸ Description

Following the NFL's criticism of current draft rules on prediction markets, there's potential for major platforms to respond with stricter regulations. This market gauges the likelihood of a rule announcement from prominent players like Polymarket or Kalshi.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
59%40$I 22
56%28$I 14.9
54%20$I 10.4
52%12$I 6.1
50%4$I 2
MID49%SPREAD 2ppYES
48%4$I 2
46%12$I 6.3
44%20$I 10.7
42%28$I 15.3
39%41$I 22.6

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • topocman👑46%36@48%
  • arspopo👑49%28@50%
  • stakeloser👑50%27@45%
  • eddy_scout👑50%5@47%

NO holders4

  • topocman👑46%44@52%
  • arspopo👑49%21@53%
  • stakeloser👑50%19@54%
  • eddy_scout👑50%15@52%
topocman bought YES$I 3.6
topocman bought YES$I 0.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.7
topocman bought YES$I 1.3
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2.5
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.9
topocman bought YES$I 3.3
topocman bought YES$I 4.5
topocman bought YES$I 3.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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