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📊 Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $150,000+ this week (by Jul 20 UTC)?ENDED
▸ MARKET · AWAITING RESOLUTION
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Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $150,000+ this week (by Jul 20 UTC)?

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↓-4pp
VOL $I 40.1·TRADES10·…·⏳ resolution incoming·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" and txn_date in [2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-20T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope payout >= 150000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":150000,"game":"Wanted Dead or a Wild","windowStart":"2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-20T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet payout on duel.com in Wanted Dead or a Wild for the window ending Jul 20 UTC. Sourced from the public Duel transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-168h top by payout, filters to game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" (case-insensitive) and txn_date in the pinned market window, then compares the highest result against $150,000.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%40$I 20.6
53%28$I 14
51%20$I 9.8
49%12$I 5.8
47%4$I 1.9
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%4$I 2.2
43%12$I 6.7
41%20$I 11.4
39%29$I 16.4
36%41$I 24.3

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • arspopo👑50%18@50%
  • eddy_scout👑49%15@49%

NO holders4

  • topocman👑49%19@51%
  • eddy_scout👑49%17@52%
  • arspopo👑50%8@52%
  • stakeloser👑49%4@51%
topocman bought NO$I 3
topocman bought NO$I 2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.1
eddy_scout bought NO$I 5.6
topocman bought NO$I 4.8
arspopo bought YES$I 1
arspopo bought YES$I 7.9
arspopo bought NO$I 3.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.9

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