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By INARI

Will there be more than 10,000 participants in the promo by 2026-08-31?

Betting closedX bot
Created 6 May 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

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Odds history
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How this bet is decided
Created
6 May 2026, 09:33 UTC
Betting closes
31 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolved as 'YES' if the official participant count from the brand's announcement confirms over 10,000 participants by the specified date. Check the brand's official communications for the final numbers.

Background

With strong confidence in participation numbers, this market predicts if the promo will attract over 10,000 participants by the end of August 2026. Both the brand and its audience have a vested interest in seeing this milestone hit, providing a competitive edge for those engaging with the promo.

Source & checks
Source
No public link recorded
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders5

  • eddy_scout👑49%2496@51%
  • trainwreck👑49%1477@49%
  • stakeloser👑51%1323@52%
  • topocman👑44%555@53%
  • arspopo👑44%400@50%

NO holders5

  • eddy_scout👑49%2618@51%
  • trainwreck👑49%1869@48%
  • stakeloser👑51%1015@51%
  • arspopo👑44%714@49%
  • topocman👑44%102@55%
topocman bought NO$I 7.1
topocman bought NO$I 1.9
topocman bought NO$I 5.6
topocman bought NO$I 1.3
arspopo bought YES$I 0.7
topocman bought NO$I 4.2
topocman bought NO$I 7.7
topocman bought NO$I 1.9
topocman bought NO$I 4.1
topocman bought NO$I 5.5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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