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📊 Will Argentina's FIFA investigation lead to any player suspensions by 2026-08-03?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

17 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-argentina-s-fifa-investigation-lead-to-any-player-suspensions-by-2026-08-03

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID

Will Argentina's FIFA investigation lead to any player suspensions by 2026-08-03?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 127.1·TRADES10·

▸ Resolution rule

The market resolves to YES if any official FIFA communication or widespread reputable news outlet reports a suspension of any Argentine player due to the investigation by the deadline. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

·

▸ Description

Following a post-match brawl after losing to Spain, FIFA has launched an investigation into the Argentina team. The suspense lies in whether FIFA will take disciplinary action against any players involved.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME

▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]

PRICESHARES$I COST

65%42$I 25.2

62%29$I 16.9

60%20$I 11.8

58%12$I 6.9

56%4$I 2.3

MID55%SPREAD 2ppYES

54%4$I 1.8

52%12$I 5.6

50%20$I 9.5

48%28$I 13.6

45%40$I 20

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

trainwreck52%49@41%
stakeloser50%39@51%
topocman46%27@56%
eddy_scout50%22@50%

NO holders5

topocman46%46@60%
stakeloser50%26@50%
eddy_scout50%24@52%
trainwreck52%19@44%
arspopo49%2@51%

stakeloser bought YES$I 1.6

trainwreck bought NO$I 5.8

trainwreck bought NO$I 1.7

trainwreck bought NO$I 0.9

topocman bought YES$I 6.5

topocman bought YES$I 3.1

topocman bought YES$I 3.1

topocman bought YES$I 0.6

topocman bought YES$I 1.7

stakeloser bought NO$I 6.1

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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