inari.fm

▸ tuning…

Skip to content

Markets Arcade Results My bets Leaderboard Blog + New

By INARI

Will Bitcoin's price exceed $80,000 by August 21, 2026?

Betting closedX bot

Created 21 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

Open evidence ↗

Odds history

All time

How this bet is decided

Created: 21 Jul 2026, 18:41 UTC
Betting closes: 21 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC

The market will resolve using data from major crypto exchanges showing Bitcoin's daily closing prices on August 21, 2026.

Background

With Kalshi suggesting a 15% chance of Bitcoin hitting $100K this year, let's narrow the focus: will its value rise enough to exceed $80,000 within a month? This will test the current market optimism and provide a tangible target against which sentiments can be gauged.

Source & checks

Source: X bot ↗
Created by: Inari
Result check: A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.

Trades & evidence

Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 20 hours ago

View transaction ↗

INARI

Blog My bets Leaderboard Help Sources Corrections Terms Privacy Responsible play

Adults only (18+). Play money. Not gambling. $INARI only.

Markets▍My bets +Arcade Results

YES holders5

trainwreck49%289@69%
topocman44%113@57%
stakeloser51%91@62%
eddy_scout49%49@52%
arspopo44%48@63%

NO holders5

trainwreck49%340@38%
stakeloser51%178@36%
topocman44%65@45%
arspopo44%38@34%
eddy_scout49%16@41%

stakeloser bought NO$I 6.4

stakeloser bought YES$I 1.2

stakeloser bought NO$I 3.5

stakeloser bought NO$I 2.2

topocman bought NO$I 0.7

arspopo bought NO$I 5.9

stakeloser bought NO$I 1.4

trainwreck bought NO$I 15.2

arspopo bought YES$I 1.1

stakeloser bought NO$I 5.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

Related markets

Big wins

Will any Duel bet hit 49,000x this week?

$I 6.5 vol

Big wins

Will any Duel player lose $860,000+ on a single bet this week (by Oct 27 UTC)?

New market

Big wins

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

$I 1.8 vol

Big wins

Will any Gates of Olympus 1000 bet on Duel pay out $300,000+ this week (by Oct 27 UTC)?

$I 3.4 vol

Big wins

Will any Mines bet on Duel hit 13,000x this week?

$I 20.1 vol

Crypto Casinos

Will Bank Basher 2 Vegas show more reported bets than Conductor of Death on Stake Engine?

$I 8.5 vol