📊 Will Bitcoin's price exceed $80,000 by August 21, 2026?ENDED
▸ MARKET · AWAITING RESOLUTION
Will Bitcoin's price exceed $80,000 by August 21, 2026?
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↓-7pp
VOL $I 615.6·TRADES10·…·⏳ resolution incoming··
▸ Resolution rule
The market will resolve using data from major crypto exchanges showing Bitcoin's daily closing prices on August 21, 2026.
▸ Description
With Kalshi suggesting a 15% chance of Bitcoin hitting $100K this year, let's narrow the focus: will its value rise enough to exceed $80,000 within a month? This will test the current market optimism and provide a tangible target against which sentiments can be gauged.
▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
48%41$I 17.7
45%29$I 12
43%21$I 8.5
41%13$I 5
39%4$I 1.6
MID38%SPREAD 2ppYES
37%4$I 2.6
35%13$I 8.2
33%22$I 14
31%31$I 20.2
28%45$I 30.3
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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