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Will Claude Fable 5's solution to the Jacobian conjecture be verified by July 28, 2026?

Betting closedX bot
Created 21 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

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Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

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Odds history
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20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
21 Jul 2026, 06:06 UTC
Betting closes
28 Jul 2026, 23:59 UTC

Check academic publications, peer-reviewed journals, or official announcements from credible mathematicians or institutions verifying the solution to the Jacobian conjecture by the deadline.

Background

This market hinges on whether the mathematical community will verify that Claude Fable 5, an AI developed by Anthropic, has indeed solved the long-standing Jacobian conjecture. This represents a significant milestone in mathematics and technology.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders3

  • topocman👑44%36@50%
  • eddy_scout👑49%29@50%
  • stakeloser👑51%22@54%

NO holders3

  • eddy_scout👑49%41@51%
  • stakeloser👑51%18@50%
  • arspopo👑44%2@51%
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.1
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.3
topocman bought YES$I 1.7
topocman bought YES$I 6.3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1.8
topocman bought YES$I 3.4
topocman bought YES$I 4.5
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.1

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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