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By INARI

Will Kalshi introduce a new market related to the global tariffs by 2026-08-07?

Betting closedX bot
Created 24 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

Open evidence ↗
Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
24 Jul 2026, 15:07 UTC
Betting closes
7 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC

Verify via Kalshi's official website and social media announcements if a new market explicitly related to the global tariffs has been introduced by the specified date.

Background

With the announcement of new US global tariffs, Kalshi may seize the opportunity to introduce a prediction market based on this development. This allows for speculation on the impact and potential moves in response to the tariffs.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders3

  • stakeloser👑51%44@53%
  • arspopo👑44%32@59%
  • eddy_scout👑49%17@51%

NO holders5

  • trainwreck👑49%43@43%
  • topocman👑44%23@53%
  • eddy_scout👑49%22@51%
  • stakeloser👑51%18@47%
  • arspopo👑44%16@49%
topocman bought NO$I 2.3
topocman bought NO$I 3.1
topocman bought NO$I 3
topocman bought NO$I 0.5
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.8
eddy_scout bought NO$I 0.7
topocman bought NO$I 3.3
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.5
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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