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📊 Will Kalshi introduce a new market related to the global tariffs by 2026-08-07?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

13 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-kalshi-introduce-a-new-market-related-to-the-global-tariffs-by-2026-08-07

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
</>Embed

Will Kalshi introduce a new market related to the global tariffs by 2026-08-07?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 107.9·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Verify via Kalshi's official website and social media announcements if a new market explicitly related to the global tariffs has been introduced by the specified date.

·
▸ Description

With the announcement of new US global tariffs, Kalshi may seize the opportunity to introduce a prediction market based on this development. This allows for speculation on the impact and potential moves in response to the tariffs.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
53%40$I 19.3
50%28$I 13.1
48%20$I 9.2
46%12$I 5.4
44%4$I 1.8
MID43%SPREAD 2ppYES
42%4$I 2.4
40%12$I 7.2
38%21$I 12.3
36%29$I 17.8
33%43$I 26.4

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • stakeloser👑50%44@53%
  • arspopo👑49%32@59%
  • eddy_scout👑50%17@51%

NO holders5

  • trainwreck👑52%43@43%
  • topocman👑46%23@53%
  • eddy_scout👑50%22@51%
  • stakeloser👑50%18@47%
  • arspopo👑49%16@49%
topocman bought NO$I 2.3
topocman bought NO$I 3.1
topocman bought NO$I 3
topocman bought NO$I 0.5
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.8
eddy_scout bought NO$I 0.7
topocman bought NO$I 3.3
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.5
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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