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📊 Will Kalshi list a market related to AI singularity by 2026-08-04?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

17 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-kalshi-list-a-market-related-to-ai-singularity-by-2026-08-04

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
</>Embed

Will Kalshi list a market related to AI singularity by 2026-08-04?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 124.9·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Check Kalshi's official website and their X feed for any announcement or listing regarding an AI singularity-related market by the deadline.

·
▸ Description

Sam Altman's statement about AI entering its "singularity" moment is a huge industry signal event. This market speculates if Kalshi will seize the opportunity to introduce a related prediction market within the next 10 days.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
83%59$I 46.5
80%39$I 30.1
78%27$I 20.6
76%16$I 11.8
74%5$I 3.8
MID73%SPREAD 2ppYES
72%5$I 1.4
70%15$I 4.2
68%24$I 7.1
66%33$I 10.1
63%46$I 14.7

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%97@65%
  • arspopo👑49%37@55%
  • stakeloser👑50%16@57%
  • topocman👑46%14@57%

NO holders2

  • trainwreck👑52%33@44%
  • stakeloser👑50%30@37%
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.6
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 4.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 7.3
trainwreck bought YES$I 8.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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