Will Kalshi's prediction of a Tesla and SpaceX merger reach an 80% probability before 2026-07-31?
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Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).
Odds history
All time
How this bet is decided
- Created
- 21 Jul 2026, 16:42 UTC
- Betting closes
- 31 Jul 2026, 23:59 UTC
Resolve based on whether Kalshi's probability prediction for the Tesla and SpaceX merger hits 80% as verifiable on Kalshi's official website or other reputable financial news sources before the deadline.
Background
Kalshi has reported a 69% chance that Tesla and SpaceX will merge by 2028. With market speculation and potential developments, will this prediction see increased confidence and hit 80% within the next 10 days?
Source & checks
- Source
- X bot ↗
- Created by
- Inari
- Result check
- A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.