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📊 Will LeBron James join the Miami Heat before August 5, 2026?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

16 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-lebron-james-join-the-miami-heat-before-august-5-2026

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
</>Embed

Will LeBron James join the Miami Heat before August 5, 2026?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 88.3·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

This market resolves based on an official announcement from the Miami Heat or LeBron James confirming his signing to the team, validated by reputable sports news outlets.

·
▸ Description

Kalshi has hinted at a significant move in the NBA: LeBron James potentially joining the Miami Heat. This market creates suspense as fans and bettors alike speculate on whether this high-profile transfer will materialize within the next two weeks.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
41%43$I 15.8
38%31$I 10.8
36%22$I 7.6
34%14$I 4.5
32%5$I 1.5
MID31%SPREAD 2ppYES
30%5$I 3.2
28%14$I 10
26%24$I 17.3
24%35$I 25.2
21%52$I 38.3

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • stakeloser👑50%35@44%
  • arspopo👑49%5@51%
  • trainwreck👑52%2@42%

NO holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%61@63%
  • stakeloser👑50%24@56%
  • arspopo👑49%20@51%
  • eddy_scout👑50%15@53%
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.7
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.6
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.2
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.9
trainwreck bought NO$I 7.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.6
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.4
trainwreck bought NO$I 7
trainwreck bought YES$I 0.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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