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Will Macau's July gross gaming revenue exceed MOP22 billion?

Betting closedX bot
Created 20 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

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Stakes refunded.

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Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

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Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
20 Jul 2026, 09:34 UTC
Betting closes
1 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Resolution based on official GGR figures for Macau released by the Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau (DICJ).

Background

This market assesses whether Macau's July gross gaming revenue will surpass MOP22 billion, challenging Citigroup's forecast of a 5% year-on-year decline to MOP21.0 billion. It will test market confidence in Macau's post-World Cup recovery.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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YES holders2

  • trainwreck👑49%77@38%
  • stakeloser👑51%43@43%

NO holders4

  • stakeloser👑51%69@59%
  • trainwreck👑49%28@68%
  • arspopo👑44%19@53%
  • topocman👑44%15@60%
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.1
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.4
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 11.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 5.6
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.4
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.8
trainwreck bought YES$I 0.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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