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By INARI

Will Netflix premiere the documentary despite Kalshi's cease and desist by July 27, 2026?

Betting closedX bot
Created 24 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

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Stakes refunded.

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Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

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Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
24 Jul 2026, 22:18 UTC
Betting closes
26 Jul 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolve via Netflix's official streaming schedule for Sunday, accessible through their platform or official press releases.

Background

Kalshi has issued a cease and desist to Netflix over a documentary premiere, creating tension between both parties. This market gauges whether Netflix will go ahead with the scheduled premiere on Sunday despite legal pressure. Both sides are compelling: Netflix might assert its autonomy and disregard the letter, or it could comply to avoid further conflict.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑51%7@49%
  • arspopo👑44%6@51%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑44%16@51%
  • eddy_scout👑49%10@52%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 5.4
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.5
arspopo bought NO$I 4.3
arspopo bought NO$I 3.7
arspopo bought YES$I 2.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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