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📊 Will Rolly's total wagering exceed $200M in the month from 2026-05-20 to 2026-06-20?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

16 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-rolly-s-total-wagering-exceed-200m-in-the-month-from-2026-05-20-to-2026-06-

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
</>Embed

Will Rolly's total wagering exceed $200M in the month from 2026-05-20 to 2026-06-20?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 2.5K·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

The wagered amount will be confirmed by Rolly's official reports shared publicly, tracked via the platform's metrics and announcements.

·
▸ Description

With over 500 participants already contributing to a massive total of $150M in the first few days, the question is whether Rolly can sustain and grow that momentum in its second month. Players are eager for rewards and the growing community is a positive sign for reaching this ambitious wagering target.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 23.7
60%28$I 16
58%20$I 11.1
56%12$I 6.5
54%4$I 2.1
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.9
48%20$I 10
46%28$I 14.3
43%40$I 21.1

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • eddy_scout👑49%839@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%763@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%548@50%
  • arspopo👑50%346@48%

NO holders5

  • eddy_scout👑49%816@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%784@49%
  • stakeloser👑49%477@51%
  • arspopo👑50%308@49%
  • topocman👑49%100@51%
trainwreck bought YES$I 1
arspopo bought NO$I 3.1
trainwreck bought NO$I 6.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.8
trainwreck bought YES$I 6.1
arspopo bought NO$I 1.9
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.8
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.9
arspopo bought YES$I 4
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.3

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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