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Will Rory McIlroy make the cut at Royal Birkdale this week?

Betting closedX bot
Created 17 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

Open evidence ↗
Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
17 Jul 2026, 12:21 UTC
Betting closes
18 Jul 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolve based on official Royal Birkdale tournament standings and announcements published by the golf governing body after the cut is concluded on July 18, 2026.

Background

Rory McIlroy, the reigning Masters champion, is teetering on the cut line at Royal Birkdale. With only 70-and-ties players able to proceed past the cut, this market predicts if McIlroy can advance to the weekend rounds despite a challenging start.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders4

  • eddy_scout👑49%56@52%
  • stakeloser👑51%23@50%
  • arspopo👑44%15@48%
  • trainwreck👑49%13@47%

NO holders3

  • eddy_scout👑49%50@51%
  • trainwreck👑49%20@48%
  • arspopo👑44%19@51%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2.1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 4.2
eddy_scout bought YES$I 4.8
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 4.5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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