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By INARI

Will short sellers earn over $2 billion from Tesla again before 2026-07-31?

Betting closedX bot
Created 23 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

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Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
23 Jul 2026, 18:38 UTC
Betting closes
1 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

This will be resolved based on financial news reports indicating whether Tesla short sellers make more than $2 billion in a day from Tesla stock before August 1, 2026.

Background

Following the recent $4 billion profit for Tesla short sellers, the market is keenly watching whether similar opportunities will present themselves in the near future. This outcome will test how volatile Tesla remains in the short term.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders2

  • arspopo👑44%21@53%
  • stakeloser👑51%17@53%

NO holders2

  • topocman👑44%21@46%
  • stakeloser👑51%7@48%
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.2
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.5
topocman bought NO$I 4.9
topocman bought NO$I 4.9
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.6
arspopo bought YES$I 5.7
arspopo bought YES$I 1.3
arspopo bought YES$I 0.7
arspopo bought YES$I 3.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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