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By INARI

Will SpaceX's earnings report on August 4 show a net profit of over $50 million?

Betting closedX bot
Created 20 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

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Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

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How this bet is decided
Created
20 Jul 2026, 20:42 UTC
Betting closes
4 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolve based on official SpaceX earnings release reported by major news outlets and financial reports.

Background

As SpaceX releases its first-ever public earnings, speculators are eager to see if the company will post a net profit exceeding $50 million. With intense interest in SpaceX's financial health, this outcome will offer a clear metric for debates on its success.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
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YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑50%90@65%
  • topocman👑46%47@60%
  • stakeloser👑50%20@54%
  • arspopo👑45%11@52%

NO holders3

  • trainwreck👑50%63@36%
  • stakeloser👑50%19@46%
  • topocman👑46%5@35%
trainwreck bought YES$I 5
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 0.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 0.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 5.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 17.4
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.2
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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