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📊 Will SpaceX's operational results reveal a higher launch frequency than Q1 2026?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

15 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-spacex-s-operational-results-reveal-a-higher-launch-frequency-than-q1-2026

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
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Will SpaceX's operational results reveal a higher launch frequency than Q1 2026?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 219.6·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolve based on data from SpaceX's officially released quarterly report on August 4, accessible through their official website or financial reporting platforms.

·
▸ Description

With SpaceX set to report its quarterly operational results on August 4, investors and space enthusiasts are keen to see whether their launch frequency has increased compared to Q1 2026. A higher frequency would indicate progress in expanding their launch capabilities.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
95%121$I 110.2
92%71$I 63
90%46$I 40.6
88%26$I 22.4
86%8$I 6.9
MID85%SPREAD 2ppYES
84%8$I 1.2
82%22$I 3.6
80%35$I 6.1
78%47$I 8.6
75%64$I 12.5

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • trainwreck👑52%218@78%
  • stakeloser👑50%40@58%
  • eddy_scout👑50%15@52%

NO holders3

  • stakeloser👑50%86@19%
  • trainwreck👑52%10@23%
  • eddy_scout👑50%4@50%
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 0.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.4
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 5.8
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.6
trainwreck bought YES$I 6.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 4.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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