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Will SpaceX's operational results reveal a higher launch frequency than Q1 2026?

Betting closedX bot
Created 20 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

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Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

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Odds history
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How this bet is decided
Created
20 Jul 2026, 22:13 UTC
Betting closes
5 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolve based on data from SpaceX's officially released quarterly report on August 4, accessible through their official website or financial reporting platforms.

Background

With SpaceX set to report its quarterly operational results on August 4, investors and space enthusiasts are keen to see whether their launch frequency has increased compared to Q1 2026. A higher frequency would indicate progress in expanding their launch capabilities.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders3

  • trainwreck👑49%218@78%
  • stakeloser👑51%40@58%
  • eddy_scout👑49%15@52%

NO holders3

  • stakeloser👑51%86@19%
  • trainwreck👑49%10@23%
  • eddy_scout👑49%4@50%
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 0.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.4
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 5.8
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.6
trainwreck bought YES$I 6.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 4.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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