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📊 Will Spain's probability on Predict exceed 70% before 2026-07-26?ENDED
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Will Spain's probability on Predict exceed 70% before 2026-07-26?

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↓-3pp
VOL $I 74.5·TRADES10·…·⏳ resolution incoming·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolved via Predict's publicly visible homepage percentages for Spain as of 2026-07-26.

·
▸ Description

With Spain currently sitting at a 59% probability, this market keeps bettors engaged on whether their likelihood will surge past the important 70% mark within a week. Supporters of both entries can passionately argue as events unfold.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 24.1
60%29$I 16.2
58%20$I 11.3
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.2
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%20$I 9.8
46%28$I 14.1
43%40$I 20.8

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

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YES holders4

  • stakeloser👑49%37@56%
  • trainwreck👑50%18@54%
  • eddy_scout👑49%15@52%
  • arspopo👑50%11@49%

NO holders4

  • stakeloser👑49%25@45%
  • arspopo👑50%17@51%
  • eddy_scout👑49%13@49%
  • trainwreck👑50%13@41%
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.7
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.2

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