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Will Spain's probability on Predict exceed 70% before 2026-07-26?

Betting closedX bot
Created 19 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

Open evidence ↗
Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
19 Jul 2026, 17:17 UTC
Betting closes
26 Jul 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolved via Predict's publicly visible homepage percentages for Spain as of 2026-07-26.

Background

With Spain currently sitting at a 59% probability, this market keeps bettors engaged on whether their likelihood will surge past the important 70% mark within a week. Supporters of both entries can passionately argue as events unfold.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders4

  • stakeloser👑51%37@56%
  • trainwreck👑49%18@54%
  • eddy_scout👑49%15@52%
  • arspopo👑44%11@49%

NO holders4

  • stakeloser👑51%25@45%
  • arspopo👑44%17@51%
  • eddy_scout👑49%13@49%
  • trainwreck👑49%13@41%
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.7
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.2

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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