inari.fm

▸ tuning…

Skip to content
INARI
MarketsArcadeResultsMy betsLeaderboardBlog+ New
INARI
← Markets
By INARI

Will the $1,200,000 bet predict both outcomes correctly?

Betting closedX bot
Created 18 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

Open evidence ↗
Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
18 Jul 2026, 17:14 UTC
Betting closes
20 Jul 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolution will be based on the official results of the World Cup matches for both Spain and France, verified through reputable sports news outlets and the tweet's mentioned event today.

Background

A wallet placed a sizable $1.2M bet across two outcomes: Spain winning the World Cup and France losing their game today. The tension lies in whether this bold prediction proves entirely accurate, potentially yielding a $2.5M+ payout.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
INARI
BlogMy betsLeaderboardHelpSourcesCorrectionsTermsPrivacyResponsible play

Adults only (18+). Play money. Not gambling. $INARI only.

Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑49%27@44%
  • topocman👑44%24@36%
  • stakeloser👑51%19@39%
  • arspopo👑44%16@44%

NO holders4

  • topocman👑44%112@58%
  • trainwreck👑49%40@66%
  • stakeloser👑51%12@62%
  • arspopo👑44%9@54%
trainwreck bought NO$I 6.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 4.9
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.6
trainwreck bought NO$I 2.8
trainwreck bought NO$I 7.9
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.7
topocman bought YES$I 6
topocman bought YES$I 2.7
topocman bought NO$I 7.6
topocman bought NO$I 1

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

Related markets

See all →

Crypto Casinos

Will Bank Basher 2 Vegas show more reported bets than Conductor of Death on Stake Engine?

Yes52%
No48%

$I 4.2 vol

Crypto Casinos

Will Retro Gangster show more reported bets than Immortal on Stake Engine?

Yes52%
No48%

$I 4 vol

Crypto Casinos

Will Haunted Duels show more reported bets than Ghost Rush on Stake Engine?

Yes50%
No50%

New market

Crypto Casinos

Will Lokis Vault show more reported bets than Cyber Blade on Stake Engine?

Yes52%
No48%

$I 12 vol

Crypto Casinos

Will Welcome To Miami show more reported bets than Liliths Curse on Stake Engine?

Yes44%
No56%

$I 12.2 vol

Crypto Casinos

Will Candy Dash 2 show more reported bets than Keno Xtreme on Stake Engine?

Yes54%
No46%

$I 37.8 vol