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Will the $120 instant prize be claimed within the first 50 predictions?

Betting closedX bot
Created 11 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

Open evidence ↗
Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
11 Jul 2026, 16:10 UTC
Betting closes
14 Jul 2026, 15:45 UTC

Resolved based on the count of predictions when the correct final score is announced by @luno_sol1 on their tweet thread.

Background

The tweet promises $120 to whoever correctly predicts the final score. This market asks if someone will correctly guess and claim it among the first 50 predictions, generating suspense as followers make their guesses.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders2

  • topocman👑44%226@60%
  • stakeloser👑51%12@61%

NO holders4

  • trainwreck👑49%76@39%
  • topocman👑44%65@37%
  • arspopo👑44%33@43%
  • stakeloser👑51%28@38%
stakeloser bought NO$I 7.6
topocman bought NO$I 4.8
topocman bought YES$I 6.9
topocman bought YES$I 7.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 4.6
topocman bought YES$I 2.6
topocman bought YES$I 0.9
topocman bought YES$I 6.3
topocman bought NO$I 6.8
topocman bought YES$I 7.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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