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By INARI

Will the Crypto Clarity Act have a significant impact on crypto market cap by 2026-08-01?

Betting closedX bot
Created 22 Jul 2026

Cancelled bet

Refund

Stakes refunded.

Verify result

Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

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Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
22 Jul 2026, 18:35 UTC
Betting closes
1 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolve YES if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization increases or decreases by more than 5% from July 22, 2026, as verified by data from reputable market analysis platforms like CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko. Otherwise, resolve NO.

Background

The Crypto Clarity Act is under discussion, with a 50% chance of passing. The potential regulation could influence the overall crypto market value. This market predicts whether the Act's announcement or passage will significantly impact the total market capitalization by August 1, 2026.

Source & checks
Source
X bot ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
A reviewer checks the written rule against public evidence.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 20 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑51%36@46%
  • trainwreck👑49%25@41%

NO holders4

  • arspopo👑44%28@54%
  • topocman👑44%26@59%
  • stakeloser👑51%26@54%
  • eddy_scout👑49%2@52%
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 3
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.5
stakeloser bought YES$I 0.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.2
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.5
eddy_scout bought NO$I 0.9
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.7
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.4
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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