📊 Will the Crypto Clarity Act have a significant impact on crypto market cap by 2026-08-01?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

20 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-the-crypto-clarity-act-have-a-significant-impact-on-crypto-market-cap-by-20

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID

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Will the Crypto Clarity Act have a significant impact on crypto market cap by 2026-08-01?

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Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 72.2·TRADES10·

▸ Resolution rule

Resolve YES if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization increases or decreases by more than 5% from July 22, 2026, as verified by data from reputable market analysis platforms like CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko. Otherwise, resolve NO.

▸ Description

The Crypto Clarity Act is under discussion, with a 50% chance of passing. The potential regulation could influence the overall crypto market value. This market predicts whether the Act's announcement or passage will significantly impact the total market capitalization by August 1, 2026.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME

▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+]

PRICESHARES$I COST

55%40$I 20.1

52%28$I 13.6

50%20$I 9.5

48%12$I 5.6

46%4$I 1.8

MID45%SPREAD 2ppYES

44%4$I 2.2

42%12$I 6.9

40%20$I 11.8

38%29$I 16.9

35%42$I 25.1

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

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