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📊 Will the fresh wallet trader make over $25,000 from their Clarity Act market position by August 7, 2026?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

14 days ago

Resolver note · Auto-VOID: unresolved 21+ days after close — no creator / consensus / desk resolution. All stakes refunded (Manifold-style delinquent safety net).

🔗 Live source ↗

https://www.inari.markets/markets/will-the-fresh-wallet-trader-make-over-25-000-from-their-clarity-act-market-posi

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · VOID
</>Embed

Will the fresh wallet trader make over $25,000 from their Clarity Act market position by August 7, 2026?

VERIFY—tap a check

Market voided

◇ VOID

Stakes refunded

VOL $I 127.7·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Review the Polymarket platform for the specific market position and calculate the profit based on the final payout if the Clarity Act is signed in 2026.

·
▸ Description

This market examines whether the new trader, heavily invested in the Clarity Act being signed in 2026, will secure a substantial profit. The potential payout of $38,000+ makes this an exciting opportunity to see if their confidence pays off.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 24
60%29$I 16.2
58%20$I 11.3
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.2
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%20$I 9.9
46%28$I 14.1
43%40$I 20.8

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • stakeloser👑50%65@58%
  • topocman👑46%44@62%
  • arspopo👑49%17@51%
  • trainwreck👑52%7@63%

NO holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%71@41%
  • stakeloser👑50%37@42%
  • arspopo👑49%7@51%
  • topocman👑46%6@34%
stakeloser bought NO$I 4.9
stakeloser bought YES$I 5.1
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.8
trainwreck bought NO$I 11.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.9
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.6
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.5
stakeloser bought YES$I 5
stakeloser bought NO$I 5
topocman bought NO$I 2

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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